Hong Kong · Top 5 News
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PBoC Injects RMB178B Net, Fixes USD/CNY at 6.8109 Amid Interbank Lending Curbs
The PBoC conducted RMB393B in reverse repos, injecting a net RMB178B in a single session, while setting the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8109, marginally easier than the prior fix of 6.8150. Separately, Bloomberg reported that Chinese authorities asked major state banks to curb interbank lending to drain excess liquidity from the system — a signal that the PBoC is managing a cash glut rather than tightening outright. The dual action (liquidity injection via repos, interbank cap to prevent misallocation) suggests fine-tuning rather than a directional policy shift. CNY is also facing headwinds from the oil shock and a reserve-strategy reassessment per Commerzbank.
Why it matters: The interbank-curb plus large repo injection combination directly affects CNH/HKD funding costs and carry conditions; investors should reassess whether PBoC is tilting toward sterilized easing, which would compress HIBOR spreads and affect HK-listed financials' net interest margins.
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China May Exports Surge 19.4% YoY; Hang Seng Rebounds 2% on Iran Ceasefire
China's May exports grew 19.4% year-on-year, accelerating meaningfully and beating consensus, suggesting front-loading demand and continued export competitiveness despite geopolitical headwinds. Concurrently, the Hang Seng Index gained approximately 2% in morning trade — with brokerage stocks leading — after Trump called off strikes on Iran and touted a peace deal, pushing oil lower and triggering a global risk-on rally. The Shanghai Composite was on track for its first weekly gain in a month. The mid-session Hang Seng gain of ~500 points reflects both the macro relief on oil/Iran and the strong trade data cross-read.
Why it matters: A 19.4% export print materially upgrades near-term China GDP tracking and supports earnings for export-oriented industrials and logistics names listed in HK; the Iran ceasefire-driven oil drop is a significant positive for China's current account and reduces PBoC pressure to defend CNY, a dual tailwind for HK equities.
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EngineAI and Dreame Technology File for Hong Kong IPOs; Two Others Launch HK$2.45B Bookbuild
Chinese humanoid robotics firm EngineAI filed confidentially for a Hong Kong IPO per Bloomberg, joining home-appliance robotics company Dreame Technology in the HKEX pipeline. Separately, two other Chinese companies kicked off bookbuilding targeting a combined raise of HK$2.45B. Shenzhen Senior also launched a HK$1.34B IPO. The cluster of concurrent launches signals continued confidence in HKEX as the primary offshore listing venue for Chinese tech and new-economy companies, particularly in the high-profile robotics and AI-adjacent hardware segment.
Why it matters: The EngineAI filing is a bellwether for humanoid robotics sector valuation discovery in public markets — it will set comparable multiples for the broader Chinese robotics cohort and attract dedicated tech fund allocation to HKEX, with cross-read implications for listed peers such as UBTECH and sector ETFs.
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China Squeezes Indium Phosphide Supplies, Disrupting US-Taiwan Optics Supply Chain
China has tightened exports of indium phosphide (InP), a critical compound semiconductor substrate used in high-speed optical transceivers, jolting the US-Taiwan photonics and datacom optics supply chain per Digitimes. InP is essential for 400G/800G optical modules underpinning AI data center buildouts. The restriction follows China's earlier rare-earth and gallium/germanium export controls and represents a further escalation in critical materials leverage. US and Taiwanese optics firms relying on Chinese InP supply face near-term cost and availability pressure.
Why it matters: This is a direct supply-chain shock to AI infrastructure capex — optical transceiver makers (II-VI/Coherent, Lumentum, InnoLight) and hyperscaler procurement timelines are at risk, creating a cross-read to US AI infrastructure investment cycle assumptions and potentially pressuring gross margins for HK-listed optical component suppliers.
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China EV Penetration Hits Record 66.7% in First Week of June, Up from 62.9% in May
Electric vehicles captured 66.7% of new car sales in mainland China in the week ending June 7, up from 62.9% in May, according to the China Passenger Car Association. The data reflects accelerating structural share gain by domestic EV and PHEV brands — particularly benefiting from the global energy crisis incentivizing electrification. The pace of penetration growth suggests legacy ICE automakers are losing shelf space faster than consensus models assumed for 2026.
Why it matters: The record weekly penetration rate is a direct positive earnings read-through for HK-listed EV names (BYD, Li Auto, Geely, CATL) and a negative signal for JV automakers with high ICE exposure; it also provides a cross-read for global battery material demand (lithium, cobalt) and energy storage supply chains.
Japan · Top 5 News
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1
BOJ Set to Hike Rates to 31-Year High; Governor Ueda Hospitalized
The Bank of Japan is widely expected to raise its policy rate to 1% — a 31-year high — at its upcoming meeting, but Governor Kazuo Ueda has been hospitalized, injecting leadership uncertainty into the most consequential policy decision in decades. Finance Minister Katayama confirmed the meeting will proceed as scheduled and that Ueda's absence will not affect the outcome. Reuters reports the BOJ also plans to soften its hawkish forward guidance alongside the hike. Separately, Japan's core CPI remained below the BOJ's 2% target for a fourth consecutive month in May per a Reuters poll, complicating the narrative underpinning further tightening.
Why it matters: A rate hike to 1% is a structural inflection for JPY carry trades and Japanese government bond yields; the governor's hospitalization adds governance risk that markets may price as dovish optionality, capping JPY appreciation and complicating the BoJ's communication task — directly relevant to global risk positioning given the scale of JPY-funded carry books.
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USD/JPY Tops 160.50 as Rate Gap Dominates; Intervention Risk Elevated
USD/JPY breached 160.50 as the US-Japan rate differential continued to overwhelm BoJ hike expectations, pushing the yen to levels historically associated with Ministry of Finance intervention. Hot US PPI data further softened the yen intraday. Market participants note JPY volatility remains high ahead of the BOJ meeting, with UOB characterizing the currency as range-bound but subject to sharp swings. The combination of a looming BoJ hike and a weakening yen simultaneously raises the stakes for the BOJ's communication and the probability of FX intervention.
Why it matters: USD/JPY above 160 is the threshold at which Japan has previously intervened; if the BoJ hikes but the yen fails to strengthen, it challenges the core thesis that normalization will unwind carry trades — a critical assumption for positioning in both JGBs and global equities funded by yen borrowing.
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3
Nikkei 225 Surges ~4% on US-Iran Ceasefire Hopes; Oil Hits Two-Month Lows
Tokyo equities surged as much as 4% intraday before paring gains to close up approximately 2.87%, driven by Trump's comments that a US-Iran deal could be signed as soon as the weekend. A potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz sent oil to two-month lows, a direct positive for Japan which holds nearly one year of crude strategic reserves. The Nikkei rally was broad-based, with the geopolitical risk premium across energy-import-sensitive Japanese industrials and airlines unwinding sharply. Korean equities also soared 8% on the same catalyst, confirming the regional read.
Why it matters: A durable US-Iran deal would structurally lower Japan's energy import bill and reduce the current account headwind that has been a persistent JPY negative — materially changing the macro backdrop for both Japanese equities and the yen simultaneously; the oil price move is also a cross-read for global inflation expectations and central bank paths.
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NTT Unit Seeks $1 Billion to Develop US Data Centers via Citigroup
An NTT subsidiary is working with Citigroup to raise approximately $1 billion by selling stakes in a new US data center development vehicle. The fundraise signals Japan's largest telecom group is aggressively scaling AI infrastructure exposure in North America, following a broader trend of Japanese corporates deploying capital into US digital infrastructure. The structure — selling development company stakes rather than balance sheet debt — suggests NTT is seeking to recycle capital while retaining operational control.
Why it matters: This is a measurable capex commitment by a major Japanese corporate into US AI infrastructure, relevant both as a cross-read on data center demand (supporting the global AI investment thesis) and as an indicator of Japanese outbound capital allocation strategy shifting toward higher-growth digital assets.
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5
Nissan to Halve Vehicle Development Time Adopting China Agile Playbook
Nissan announced a structural overhaul of its vehicle development process, targeting a 50% reduction in development lead times by adopting methodologies pioneered by Chinese EV competitors. The move is a direct acknowledgment that legacy Japanese OEM development cycles are uncompetitive against BYD and peers. No capex figure was disclosed, but the initiative implies significant software and platform integration changes. This follows Nissan's ongoing financial restructuring and failed merger talks with Honda.
Why it matters: The explicit adoption of a 'China playbook' by a major Japanese OEM represents a competitive structure shift — it signals that Chinese EV firms have set the new global product-cycle benchmark, with implications for supplier chains, legacy platform valuations, and the pace of Nissan's potential recovery in margins and market share.
Korea · Top 5 News
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Bank of Korea Governor Signals Imminent Rate Hike to Curb Inflation and Housing Risks
BoK Governor Shin Chang-hwan explicitly signaled that interest rates need to be raised 'on time,' citing persistent inflation pressures and escalating housing market risks. Multiple sources (Reuters, Korea Herald, Aju Press) corroborate the hawkish pivot, marking a clear directional shift from the prior easing cycle. Major Korean banks KB Kookmin and Hana Bank have already moved preemptively, capping credit loans at 100 million won per borrower — a direct macro-prudential response to the same concerns. The guidance arrives as KOSPI surged 8%+ on the same day, creating a notable tension between risk-on equity momentum and a tightening monetary backdrop.
Why it matters: A BoK rate hike cycle reversal reprices the entire Korean fixed-income curve, pressures highly leveraged households, and could dampen the domestic consumption recovery — investors long Korean banks or consumer credit need to reassess net interest margin and credit quality assumptions. Cross-read: KRW strengthening (past 1,520/USD) combined with rate hike signaling reduces carry-trade attractiveness and may trigger reallocation within EM Asia fixed income.
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KOSPI Surges 8%+ Past 8,400 on Iran Ceasefire Hopes; KRW Strengthens Sharply
The KOSPI broke above 8,400, surging over 8% intraday — triggering a buy-side sidecar circuit breaker — driven by Trump's claim of a breakthrough in US-Iran ceasefire talks, which pressured oil prices lower and boosted risk assets globally. Samsung Electronics soared 11% and SK Hynix gained 8%, accounting for a large share of the index move. Foreign and institutional investors were net buyers, with KRW strengthening past 1,520/USD. Nomura separately published a KOSPI target of 11,000, citing the onset of an AI memory supercycle, adding fuel to bullish sentiment.
Why it matters: An Iran de-escalation that structurally lowers energy costs is a direct positive for Korea's energy-import-dependent manufacturing base and reduces the inflation overhang that is driving BoK hawkishness — investors must assess whether today's rally is a durable re-rating or a geopolitical relief spike. The cross-read is significant: Samsung and SK Hynix moves at this magnitude recalibrate global HBM/memory pricing expectations and have direct read-through to Nvidia supply chain and US AI infrastructure capex assumptions.
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Korean Securities Firms Post Record Q1 Net Profit of 4.33 Trillion Won, Up 77% YoY
The combined net profit of 61 Korean securities firms hit 4.33 trillion won in Q1 2026, up 77% year-on-year, according to Financial Supervisory Service data. Commission fee income nearly doubled to 6.69 trillion won from 3.33 trillion won a year prior, driven by a sharp increase in retail and institutional stock trading volumes. The result confirms that elevated equity market activity — including the KOSPI's recovery — is directly monetizing across the brokerage sector. This is the strongest quarterly earnings print in recent memory for the sector.
Why it matters: The near-doubling of commission income is a hard revenue inflection that should drive upward earnings revisions for listed Korean brokers — investors underweight domestic financials need to reassess. Cross-read: surging Korean retail brokerage activity is a global active-trader trend signal, with read-through to platforms like Robinhood and interactive brokers on sustained trading volume assumptions.
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4
OECD Revises Up Korea 2026 Growth to 2.6% But Projects Record-Low Potential Growth Rate in 2027
The OECD upgraded South Korea's 2026 GDP growth forecast to 2.6%, reflecting stronger-than-expected momentum including a Q1 GDP print of 3.6% that defied headwinds. However, the organization simultaneously projected Korea's potential growth rate will hit a record low in 2027, flagging structural drags including industrial polarization and demographic pressure. Korea's Finance Ministry separately acknowledged economic recovery while flagging ongoing price concerns. The dual signal — cyclical strength versus structural deterioration — is a critical framing for medium-term positioning.
Why it matters: The upward 2026 revision supports near-term risk-on positioning and reduces the probability of emergency BoK easing, but the record-low potential growth projection for 2027 is a structural headwind that argues against re-rating Korean equities on a sustained basis — investors should distinguish between cyclical earnings recovery plays and structural compounders when building Korea exposure.
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5
South Korea Signals Tokenized Stocks May Face Tax Under Existing Laws
South Korean authorities indicated that tokenized stocks — digital representations of equities on blockchain infrastructure — may be subject to taxation under existing securities and capital gains laws, without requiring new legislation. The ruling creates regulatory clarity on the treatment of tokenized assets but simultaneously raises the cost of participation for retail and institutional investors in this emerging asset class. This comes as Korea is actively debating virtual asset frameworks and as global tokenization of real-world assets accelerates.
Why it matters: Taxing tokenized stocks under existing law reduces the regulatory arbitrage that had attracted capital to these instruments and sets a precedent that could dampen the tokenized RWA market in Korea — cross-read to global crypto and fintech platforms (Coinbase, regulated exchanges) building tokenization pipelines, as Asia's regulatory posture on RWA taxation is becoming a key variable in global digital asset market structure assumptions.
India · Top 5 News
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1
US-Iran Peace Deal Hopes Slash Brent to 8-Week Low, Lifting India Markets
Brent crude futures fell nearly 2% to $88.66/barrel on reports Trump indicated a US-Iran deal could be reached as early as the weekend, with Hormuz reopening prospects amplifying the move. Indian equities surged 800-900 points on the Sensex and Nifty broke above 23,400, while the rupee strengthened 39 paise to 95.37 against the USD. Indian government bonds rallied ahead of a significant debt auction, and oil marketing companies BPCL, HPCL, and IOCL gained up to 4%. The breadth was broad-based: autos, realty, PSU banks, metals, and private banks all moved higher.
Why it matters: A sustained crude decline directly compresses India's import bill (oil ~35% of imports), reduces current account deficit pressure, and eases RBI's FX management burden — all of which shift the rate-cut and fiscal trajectory assumptions simultaneously. This is the single largest macro driver for India equities on the day.
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India May Allow Fiscal Deficit to Widen to 4.8% of GDP from 4.3% Target
Reports indicate the Indian government is prepared to let the fiscal deficit slip to 4.8% of GDP in FY27, up 50 basis points from the 4.3% February budget target, primarily because elevated energy subsidy costs stemming from the Iran conflict are straining the exchequer. This is a material revision to the fiscal consolidation path that the government has maintained since FY23. Simultaneously, smaller Indian lenders (PNB, Canara, Karnataka Bank, UCO, Axis) are raising FCNR(B) USD deposit rates above 7% in an RBI-coordinated push to attract NRI capital inflows, suggesting the central bank is actively managing FX liquidity to offset fiscal slippage risks.
Why it matters: A 50bp fiscal miss changes India sovereign bond supply assumptions and complicates the RBI's rate-cutting room; combined with FCNR(B) rate hikes, it signals authorities are managing a twin pressure of fiscal expansion and FX stability simultaneously — a key re-rating risk for India rates and INR positioning.
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Vedanta Demerger: Four New Companies Debut June 15; Aluminium Unit Flagged as Buy
Vedanta's mega corporate restructuring results in four separately listed entities on June 15: Vedanta Aluminium Metal, Vedanta Power, Vedanta Oil & Gas, and Vedanta Iron & Steel. Analysts are directing buy attention to Vedanta Aluminium Metal on the back of capacity expansion plans and elevated LME aluminium prices; the other three are expected to list as small-cap stocks with limited near-term institutional interest. The event represents one of India's largest conglomerate restructurings in recent memory and will immediately reconfigure index weights and FII holding allocations across multiple sector baskets.
Why it matters: Index rebalancing effects and forced passive-fund selling/buying around the listing date create short-term flow dislocations in metals and energy sub-indices; active managers need to pre-position given the structural change in the Vedanta capital stack and sector exposure.
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Adani-Hindenburg: Five Offshore Funds Challenge SEBI at SAT; Hearing Underway
Five offshore funds named in SEBI's adjudication proceedings following the 2023 Hindenburg report on the Adani Group have appealed to the Securities Appellate Tribunal, arguing SEBI failed to communicate the basis for action against them. A SAT hearing is scheduled for today. The case reopens regulatory uncertainty around foreign portfolio investor treatment in India and the procedural standards SEBI must meet when pursuing FPI entities. Adani Group stocks remain a meaningful weight in several EM and India-dedicated indices.
Why it matters: An adverse SAT ruling against SEBI's procedures could constrain future enforcement against FPIs, while a ruling in SEBI's favor validates tougher oversight — either outcome shifts the risk premium on Adani-linked equities and signals how India plans to manage regulatory credibility with foreign capital.
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Dabur India Under USFDA Import Alert for Silvassa Plant on Data Integrity Grounds
The US Food and Drug Administration has issued an import alert covering drugs manufactured at Dabur India's Silvassa facility, citing data integrity lapses. Dabur stated the affected operations represent a small portion of its overall business and that domestic sales remain unaffected. The stock opened near flat, suggesting the market is pricing this as contained, but US pharma export revenue for the implicated lines is now suspended until the plant achieves compliance. Data integrity findings typically require 12-24 months to remediate and re-audit.
Why it matters: USFDA import alerts on data integrity grounds carry a higher remediation burden than manufacturing observations and can expand to related facilities — investors in Indian pharma exporters broadly should note this as a recurring sector risk, particularly for mid-cap names with concentrated US export revenue.
Asia Tech · Top 5 News
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Wall Street Banks Cap Hedge Fund Leverage on SK Hynix, Samsung, TSMC After Rally
Major Wall Street prime brokers have imposed limits on hedge funds' leveraged long positions in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, and TSMC following a sharp rally in chip stocks, including a KOSPI surge of approximately 8% on Iran deal hopes. The curbs reduce available gross leverage in the most crowded AI-memory longs, effectively functioning as a forced de-grossing signal. SBI Securities data concurrently showed net selling of Kioxia alongside the broader rally, suggesting some rotation at the margin. The constraint arrives as SK Hynix and Samsung trade near multi-month highs and leveraged AI ETFs dominate domestic SK Hynix order flow.
Why it matters: Prime broker leverage caps are a direct positioning constraint: they mechanically reduce the capacity of the largest speculative long base in AI-memory equities, raising the probability of near-term technical mean-reversion even if the fundamental thesis (HBM/AI capex cycle) is intact. Cross-read: TSMC inclusion means the constraint spans the entire AI semis complex, not just Korea.
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South Korea Concrete Strike Threatens Samsung, SK Hynix Fab Construction Timelines
A truck drivers' strike halting concrete deliveries is disrupting construction at Samsung and SK Hynix chip plant sites in South Korea's semiconductor belt, per Reuters and Finimize. The action threatens near-term capex execution timelines at a moment when both companies are racing to expand HBM and advanced DRAM capacity ahead of 2027-2028 demand ramps. The supply disruption adds a domestic operational risk layer on top of geopolitical concerns, while housing prices in the chip corridor are simultaneously re-accelerating — a secondary indicator of how embedded the capex cycle is in the local economy.
Why it matters: Any delay to Samsung or SK Hynix fab construction schedules directly affects HBM supply forecasts for 2027 and beyond, with implications for AI server pricing and Nvidia's supply chain visibility; investors pricing a tight HBM market through 2027 need to monitor whether the strike escalates or resolves quickly.
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Samsung in Talks for Google 2nm TPU I/O Die Order; 2028 Mass Production Targeted
Samsung Foundry is in discussions to manufacture the I/O die for Google's next-generation AI accelerator chip (TPU) using 2nm process technology, with mass production targeted for 2028, according to TrendForce and Digitimes. The order context is TSMC capacity tightening, which is pushing hyperscalers to qualify alternative foundry sources. If confirmed, this would represent a meaningful customer-win for Samsung Foundry's 2nm node and reduce the perception that Samsung has permanently ceded advanced-node AI-chip business to TSMC.
Why it matters: A Google TPU I/O die award at 2nm would be the most significant validation of Samsung Foundry's advanced-node competitiveness since losing Apple silicon share; it shifts the probability of Samsung Foundry margin recovery and challenges the consensus view that TSMC has monopolistic pricing power in AI-chip advanced packaging.
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Kioxia Becomes Japan's Most Valuable Listed Company on AI-Driven NAND Demand
Kioxia Holdings has surpassed all other Japanese listed companies by market capitalisation as AI-infrastructure build-out drives NAND flash demand, per Bloomberg. The milestone reflects a broader re-rating of storage-memory assets alongside DRAM; Nothing CEO Carl Pei separately warned publicly that memory chip prices are at 'insane' levels, corroborating producer pricing power. SBI Securities full-day data showed net institutional selling of Kioxia on the day, suggesting some profit-taking at the valuation peak. CXMT's pending IPO and HBM pivot add a longer-term competitive overhang for NAND pricing assumptions.
Why it matters: Kioxia's valuation milestone is a cross-read for the entire memory complex: it validates AI-driven NAND pricing strength but also flags peak-sentiment risk; combined with the prime-broker leverage caps, it raises the bar for incremental re-rating and warrants scrutiny of whether spot NAND pricing can sustain the implied earnings trajectory.
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Sam Altman to Meet Naver, Kakao, Samsung in Korea; OpenAI and Anthropic Court Korean AI Partners
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is scheduled to meet Kakao, Naver, and Samsung Electronics during a Korea visit, with reports confirming that both OpenAI and Anthropic are actively courting Korean internet platforms as AI deployment and data partners. Naver simultaneously announced it is building gigawatt-scale AI infrastructure with Nvidia in 2026 and signed an MOU with Krafton for esports content distribution on Chzzk, which recorded a record 4.82 million concurrent viewers. Naver Cloud has also established a dedicated Defence AI task force, signalling government contract ambitions. Kakao's union staged its first-ever strike, adding an operational cost and execution risk.
Why it matters: Altman's Korea visit and the OpenAI/Anthropic courtship of Naver and Kakao signal that Korean internet platforms are emerging as credible AI infrastructure and localisation partners — a potential re-rating catalyst for Naver and Kakao if partnership terms involve revenue-sharing or exclusive model deployment; Naver's Nvidia-linked gigawatt AI factory plan also represents a material capex commitment that investors need to size against free cash flow.
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